Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -8 (84-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. January | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Johnson | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Catchings | 25 | 9-10 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 24 | - |
| M. Coleman | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Lucas | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 20 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| L. Kizer | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| N. Howard | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Bentley | 34 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| C. Little | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Thomas | 31 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| K. Bone | 29 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Gray | 9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Faris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter