Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 39 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 36 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 9-9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson | 31 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Lacy | 22 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Tolo | 15 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| J. Lister | 13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Hamson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 34 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| E. Carson | 32 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 32 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| T. Wright | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Cash | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Swords | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter