Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 34 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Dupree | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Currie | 29 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Quinn | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Harden | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Madgen | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. George | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Bass | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 37 | 7-16 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| L. Whalen | 33 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| R. Brunson | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 23 | - |
| S. Augustus | 31 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -4 | - |
| D. Peters | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Wright | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Jones | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dantas | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Gray | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Liston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter