Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +4 (100-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel McCoughtry | 42 | 13-26 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 19 | - |
| R. Hodges | 39 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| E. de Souza | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 34 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Burdick | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 20 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Logic | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Carter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Delle Donne | 44 | 12-20 | 2-4 | 19-19 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 39 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 38 | 6-18 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 32 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. dos Santos | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - |
| J. Breland | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Faulkner | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter