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2015-06-21

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 64.9% 35.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 69.9% 30.1% - โœ“
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 65.9% 34.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.1% 17.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 62.5% 37.5% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm -12 (72-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeWanna Bonner 37 7-17 2-5 7-9 8 2 2 1 0 23 19 -
Candice Dupree 30 6-13 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 1 0 15 12 -
A. Harden 23 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 3 0 4 8 -
N. Quinn 22 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
M. Bass 21 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 2 2 1 3 6 -
Cayla George 19 4-8 2-3 1-2 5 3 2 1 1 11 13 -
Leilani Mitchell 18 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -3 -
M. Currie 17 4-9 2-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 12 7 -
S. Christon 10 2-3 0-1 3-3 1 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
T. Madgen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Langhorne 31 6-11 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 2 1 13 10 -
S. Bird 31 5-14 1-6 0-0 3 8 2 0 3 11 7 -
J. O'Hea 31 2-7 0-1 5-5 2 3 0 0 1 9 6 -
Alysha Clark 27 5-9 0-2 1-2 9 1 1 1 0 11 14 -
A. Bishop 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 4 3 4 6 -
Jewell Loyd 15 3-5 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
R. Tokashiki 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
R. Montgomery 12 2-5 0-2 3-4 0 3 0 0 3 7 2 -
Q. Hollingsworth 9 2-2 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
K. Mosqueda-Lewis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter