Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✗ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -12 (78-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bentley | 44 | 7-20 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 9 | - |
| K. Bone | 43 | 13-19 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 25 | - |
| C. Little | 40 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Thomas | 40 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| J. Thomas | 31 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Gray | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Faris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 44 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 44 | 7-18 | 0-5 | 7-9 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | - |
| M. Currie | 37 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. George | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Bass | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 25 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| N. Quinn | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Harden | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Madgen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter