Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +27 (88-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jia Perkins * | 29 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 27 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dearica Hamby * | 21 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Kayla Alexander | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Brittany Hrynko | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Brianna Kiesel * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 21 | 9-13 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Paris * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 25 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hooper | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Vicki Baugh | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 14 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Theresa Plaisance | 7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter