Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -11 (79-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 32 | 2-13 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| M. Coleman | 31 | 6-15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| B. January | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| M. Lucas | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| S. Johnson | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Kizer | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 39 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| R. Hodges | 32 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| E. de Souza | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 28 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 15 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| S. Logic | 7 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Colhado | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter