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Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +3.5 โœ“ (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (81-66). Ratings: 2015 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Maya Moore * 34 5-18 0-4 7-7 7 1 4 0 2 17 9 -
Seimone Augustus * 34 6-12 0-2 5-5 6 1 1 0 0 17 13 -
Rebekkah Brunson * 29 2-6 0-0 5-5 4 1 0 1 2 9 7 -
Lindsay Whalen * 27 6-12 0-0 1-1 3 3 0 0 4 13 3 -
Damiris Dantas * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Asjha Jones 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
Jennifer O'Neill 12 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 4 2 -5 -
Devereaux Peters 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 0 5 -
Tricia Liston 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Reshanda Gray 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Candice Dupree * 36 7-15 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 1 0 16 9 -
DeWanna Bonner * 32 7-17 1-5 7-7 7 1 1 1 3 22 12 -
Leilani Mitchell * 31 4-11 3-5 0-0 2 7 3 0 3 11 9 -
Monique Currie * 23 2-7 0-2 5-5 8 2 1 1 1 9 13 -
Mistie Bass * 22 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 3 8 -
Alex Harden 19 3-6 2-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 10 9 -
Cayla George 17 3-5 1-1 2-2 10 0 0 0 1 9 13 -
Noelle Quinn 11 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 3 0 0 2 1 0 -
Shameka Christon 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Tiffany Bias 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tess Madgen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter