Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 35 | 5-18 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| S. Augustus | 34 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| R. Brunson | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| A. Jones | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Dantas | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Peters | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. O'Neill | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| T. Liston | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Gray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 37 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 33 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 32 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Currie | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| M. Bass | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A. Harden | 20 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. George | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| N. Quinn | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Christon | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Madgen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bias | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter