Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +18 (82-64). Ratings: 2016 season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 35 | 9-23 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shoni Schimmel | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Nadia Colhado | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camille Smith * | 32 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Alex Bentley * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kelsey Bone * | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 19 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 17 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kelly Faris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Inga Orekhova | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter