Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +18 (82-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 36 | 9-23 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 1 | - |
| T. Hayes | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| E. de Souza | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Hodges | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| N. Colhado | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Little | 32 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Thomas | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Bentley | 29 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Bone | 28 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Gray | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Thomas | 19 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 17 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Williams | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Faris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Orekhova | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter