Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 37 | 4-19 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 31 | 8-14 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| M. Currie | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Madgen | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Cayla George | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| M. Bass | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Quinn | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Harden | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 30 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Briann January | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| S. Zellous | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Coleman | 25 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Johnson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Lucas | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter