Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bentley | 35 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| K. Bone | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Little | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 24 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Faris | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| A. Thomas | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 16 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 8 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Orekhova | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| S. Lyttle | 33 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 31 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| S. Schimmel | 31 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 25 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 1 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Hodges | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| S. Logic | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter