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2014-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% -14.1 โœ“ (9.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 83.7% 16.3% - โœ“
Margin 87.7% 12.3% -10.8 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.1% 7.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.0% 28.0% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -5 (55-60). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Arcidiacono * 34 2-7 1-5 4-4 4 3 2 0 1 9 10 -
Dylan Ennis * 30 6-10 3-6 0-1 3 1 2 2 0 15 13 -
JayVaughn Pinkston * 28 3-8 0-1 2-2 9 0 1 1 3 8 8 -
Darrun Hilliard * 23 1-7 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Daniel Ochefu * 20 5-7 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 2 4 10 6 -
Josh Hart 28 3-6 0-1 2-5 8 1 1 0 0 8 12 -
Kris Jenkins 22 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
Phil Booth 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Darryl Reynolds 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 39 7-12 2-4 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 16 12 -
Zak Irvin * 37 4-13 1-7 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 11 1 -
Derrick Walton Jr. * 35 4-11 2-6 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 10 8 -
Kameron Chatman * 19 3-5 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Mark Donnal * 13 1-2 0-0 1-3 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Spike Albrecht 27 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Ricky Doyle 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Max Bielfeldt 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D.J. Wilson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter