Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +6 (94-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Hicks * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 34 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 44 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 36 | - |
| Aaron Parks * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Landon Drew * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Ajon Efferson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taelin Webb | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Robert Cid | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Thomas * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Roger Woods * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| James White * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Ben Dillard * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| James Reid * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Maurius Hill | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Josh Hagins | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Gus Leeper | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mareik Isom | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| DeVonte Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter