Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | +3.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -9 (65-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lacey * | 35 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| C. Barber * | 35 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 10-13 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| R. Turner * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Abu * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| L. Freeman * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Anya | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Martin | 16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Washington | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Lee | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harrell * | 39 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| C. Jones * | 39 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 9-11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 36 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Rozier * | 24 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| C. Onuaku * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Q. Snider | 11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Gill | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Aaron | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter