Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -4 (47-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant McIntosh * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 37 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tre Demps * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Vic Law * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| JerShon Cobb | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Scottie Lindsey | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Gavin Skelly | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Taphorn | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Mack * | 38 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Junior Etou * | 35 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Greg Lewis * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Mike Williams * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D.J. Foreman * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kadeem Jack | 18 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bishop Daniels | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Malick Kone | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Shaquille Doorson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter