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2015-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Walter Foster * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 1 1 3 13 24 -
Mike Morsell * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 3 5 10 -
Byron Hawkins * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 10 18 -
Timajh Parker-Rivera * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
John Davis 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 1 26 36 -
Eddie Keith 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 12 -
Alex Gavrilovic 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Jamel Flash 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Freddie Jackson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 4 9 -
Craig Ponder * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 12 19 -
Cedrick Williams * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 0 0 22 37 -
C.J. Gettys * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 2 1 9 20 -
Jordon Talley * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
Addison Spruill 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 18 23 -
Dylan Sherwood 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Chuck Ogbodo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter