Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Blake * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Elijah Bryant * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 24 | - |
| Tanner Samson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Austin Hamilton * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Christian Hairston * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Collin Luther | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tony Sabato | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jack Anton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Sam Hershberger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedrick Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 28 | - |
| Craig Ponder * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Addison Spruill * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Jordon Talley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| C.J. Gettys * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Freddie Jackson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Malik Pugh | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Dylan Sherwood | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Chuck Ogbodo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter