Model Predictions
| Model | New Hampshire Wildcats | Western Michigan Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Michigan Broncos +14 (70-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Leissner * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -7.4 |
| Jaleen Smith * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -11.3 |
| Joe Bramanti * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -5.1 |
| Iba Camara * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -14.1 |
| Ronnel Jordan * | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | -7.2 |
| Jacoby Armstrong | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Daniel Dion | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -7.4 |
| Matt Miller | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tommy McDonnell | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8.5 |
| Frank Okeke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.6 |
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Richie * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +16.2 |
| David Brown * | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +7.3 |
| Connar Tava * | 29 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +14.5 |
| Tucker Haymond * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | +13.8 |
| Drake LaMont * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +11.1 |
| Kellen McCormick | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +8.7 |
| Thomas Wilder | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +7.3 |
| Mario Matasovic | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Taylor Perry | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
| Von Washington III | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -0.4 |
| Jared Klein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Charles Harris | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Anthony Avery Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Tim Brennan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.5 |
| Khadim Dieng | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter