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2014-11-14

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 95.4% 4.6% -
Bradley-Terry 97.9% 2.1% -
Margin 99.9% 0.1% -37.6 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies -59 (43-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jefferson 25 5-8 3-3 0-0 3 7 1 1 1 13 16 -
K. Mosqueda-Lewis 24 10-13 10-13 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 30 23 -
B. Stewart 24 7-12 1-2 0-0 6 7 3 1 0 15 20 -
S. Chong 22 4-5 4-5 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 12 15 -
K. Nurse 21 3-6 0-1 2-2 6 2 1 0 0 8 11 -
M. Tuck 21 4-11 0-2 2-3 4 7 0 0 1 10 9 -
K. Stokes 20 2-4 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 3 0 7 13 -
C. Ekmark 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 0 4 -
G. Williams 13 3-6 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
S. Edwards 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
T. Lawlor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Pulido 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Fipps 31 4-11 1-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 9 4 -
K. Harris 31 4-8 4-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 12 5 -
M. Greubel 24 1-3 1-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 4 2 -
L. Beyer 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
C. Marfone 16 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 -3 -
P. Gianotti 15 2-5 1-3 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
H. Johnson 14 1-7 0-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Salvatore 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
R. Nagel 13 2-6 2-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 4 7 -1 -
D. Nafekh 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -2 -
T. McGuire 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
B. Yasukochi 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter