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2015-03-07

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 โœ— (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 28.0% 72.0% - โœ—

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -3 (78-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarell Martin * 40 11-18 0-2 5-7 8 0 2 1 5 27 15 -
Keith Hornsby * 33 6-14 1-4 0-2 6 2 2 0 2 13 7 -
Jalyn Patterson * 32 7-11 6-8 0-0 6 1 2 0 1 20 17 -
Tim Quarterman * 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 3 1 -
Darcy Malone * 26 0-3 0-1 1-2 4 3 0 1 2 1 4 -
Josh Gray 25 5-9 0-1 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 10 7 -
Brian Bridgewater 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Aaron Epps 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rashad Madden * 35 5-10 2-4 0-1 7 5 0 0 0 12 14 -
Bobby Portis * 34 10-17 0-2 1-1 15 4 0 2 3 21 22 -
Michael Qualls * 34 4-11 1-5 6-8 7 4 2 0 1 15 16 -
Alandise Harris * 20 2-6 0-0 6-6 2 3 0 3 0 10 12 -
Anton Beard * 16 1-3 0-2 1-3 0 1 4 0 2 3 3 -
Anthlon Bell 23 4-12 4-11 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 12 2 -
Jacorey Williams 17 1-4 0-0 1-4 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 -
Moses Kingsley 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 -
Manuale Watkins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Jabril Durham 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter