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2015-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.7% 74.3% -
Margin 27.2% 72.8% +5.4 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 19.9% 80.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Log Adjusted 1.8% 98.2% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +17 (67-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hill * 34 7-13 0-0 1-3 2 1 1 0 4 15 2 -
D. Finney-Smith * 33 5-11 2-3 0-2 4 1 0 2 1 12 7 -
E. Carter * 32 2-7 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 6 1 -
C. Chiozza * 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Horford * 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
M. Frazier II 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -2 -
D. Robinson 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
A. Murphy 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
C. Walker 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Kurtz 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Harrison * 27 3-7 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 8 2 -
K. Towns * 27 4-10 0-0 5-6 9 3 1 6 1 13 21 -
T. Lanter * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Long * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Malone * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Ulis 28 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
A. Harrison 27 4-8 0-2 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 9 5 -
D. Booker 25 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
W. Cauley-Stein 24 3-6 0-0 2-5 7 2 2 0 1 8 12 -
T. Lyles 24 7-12 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 14 8 -
D. Johnson 13 1-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 2 1 4 4 -
M. Lee 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter