๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2015-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.3% 60.7% - โœ—
Margin 58.7% 41.3% -1.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 66.7% 33.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 86.4% 13.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 87.4% 12.6% - โœ“

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Qualls * 33 7-18 0-4 4-6 7 0 4 0 2 18 9 -
Bobby Portis * 30 9-17 1-2 5-9 8 0 1 1 1 24 16 -
Rashad Madden * 26 3-5 1-3 2-2 7 9 1 0 2 9 19 -
Anton Beard * 25 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -5 -
Alandise Harris * 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Jacorey Williams 23 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
Anthlon Bell 22 6-10 5-8 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 17 9 -
Moses Kingsley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 3 -
Manuale Watkins 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Jabril Durham 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Nick Weiler-Babb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trey Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sindarius Thornwell * 36 4-10 0-2 2-3 3 2 1 0 4 10 2 -
Duane Notice * 34 4-8 3-6 3-3 3 2 1 0 1 14 11 -
Tyrone Johnson * 30 5-11 2-4 6-9 3 6 3 0 4 18 15 -
Laimonas Chatkevicius * 26 3-5 0-0 0-1 5 2 0 3 2 6 9 -
Michael Carrera * 24 5-8 0-1 4-6 9 0 0 1 2 14 14 -
Mindaugas Kacinas 27 2-4 1-2 2-2 5 3 0 2 1 7 12 -
Marcus Stroman 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 5 5 -
Justin McKie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Brian Steele 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter