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2015-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 โœ“ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.3% 95.7% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +17 (84-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Qualls * 36 4-11 2-4 7-9 9 2 1 0 2 17 16 -
Rashad Madden * 34 3-6 2-4 3-4 3 3 0 0 3 11 8 -
Bobby Portis * 32 6-11 0-1 3-4 8 1 0 0 2 15 11 -
Alandise Harris * 26 4-8 0-1 4-4 1 2 0 0 1 12 6 -
Anton Beard * 24 1-6 1-3 2-2 3 2 2 0 0 5 6 -
Manuale Watkins 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
Jacorey Williams 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Anthlon Bell 9 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -
Moses Kingsley 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
Jabril Durham 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Weiler-Babb 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Keaton Miles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trey Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Willie Cauley-Stein * 32 3-6 0-0 1-4 9 2 2 4 2 7 16 -
Trey Lyles * 31 8-10 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 18 13 -
A. Harrison * 28 2-11 1-6 4-6 7 0 5 0 2 9 8 -
A. Harrison * 27 4-10 2-4 8-8 3 3 1 0 2 18 13 -
K. Towns * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 8 10 -
Tyler Ulis 22 4-6 2-3 4-6 1 3 0 0 0 14 12 -
Devin Booker 22 4-10 0-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 10 4 -
Dakari Johnson 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Marcus Lee 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Derek Willis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Dominique Hawkins 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E.J. Floreal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter