Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.4% | 29.6% | -4.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -18 (56-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Harrison * | 29 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Harrison * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| K. Towns * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Trey Lyles * | 21 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Ulis | 27 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Devin Booker | 20 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dakari Johnson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Derek Willis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Ware * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Fred Thomas * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Roquez Johnson * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| I.J. Ready * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Demetrius Houston | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Oliver Black | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Fallou Ndoye | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Travis Daniels | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Butler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeffery Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter