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2015-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 25.9% 74.1% -
Bradley-Terry 63.4% 36.6% -
Margin 41.9% 58.1% +1.8 (23.8 off)
Pythagorean 70.9% 29.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% -
Log Adjusted 93.8% 6.2% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -22 (48-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lyles * 26 3-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
W. Cauley-Stein * 26 3-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 2 1 9 11 -
A. Harrison * 25 1-4 1-3 2-2 2 3 3 0 2 5 7 -
A. Harrison * 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
K. Towns * 14 2-6 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
D. Johnson 23 4-7 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 0 0 11 11 -
T. Ulis 21 3-5 3-4 2-2 0 2 1 0 1 11 8 -
D. Booker 21 4-7 3-6 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 13 10 -
M. Lee 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 4 -
D. Willis 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Malone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Long 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Lanter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E.J. Floreal 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Tarrant Jr. 26 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 5 0 -
D. Slaughter 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Randolph * 34 6-9 0-2 1-2 1 0 3 0 4 13 4 -
R. Cooper * 30 4-8 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 10 4 -
M. Kessens * 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 5 4 0 -
J. Taylor * 22 1-1 0-0 1-4 3 1 0 2 0 3 8 -
R. Obasohan * 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
S. Hale 19 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 5 2 -
R. Norris 18 2-3 1-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
J. Coleman 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter