Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Hartford Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hartford Hawks +3 (55-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devarick Houston * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Jourdan Grant * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Malcolm Brent * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Will Darley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ben Grace | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jakob Stenhede | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Graham * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Yolonzo Moore * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Nate Sikma * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Taylor Dyson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mark Nwakamma * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Corban Wroe | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Wes Cole | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| John Carroll | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jamie Schneck | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jack Hobbs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter