Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Walden * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 34 | - |
| J. Powell * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| T. Knipp * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| P. Jackson * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Muff * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Stutz | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| I. McGlone | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| D. Richardson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Matthews | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Williams * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Jeffery Moss * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Cameron Payne * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 39 | - |
| Jonathan Fairell * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Kedrick Flomo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter