Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars +16 (73-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaQuail Townser * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -13.3 |
| Darion Rackley * | 29 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -16.4 |
| Jeremy Watson * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Jamal Hunter * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -8.4 |
| Dontay Jackson * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Avery Moore | 21 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Deitrich Cole | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | -8.5 |
| Undra Mitchem | 16 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -0.4 |
| D.J. Felder | 16 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -3.1 |
| Malcolm Drumwright | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -12.5 |
| Joe Kuligoski | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Randall Smith | 3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +3.5 |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donivine Stewart * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Kris Davis * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Rozell Nunn * | 30 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Michael Messer * | 23 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Keaton Jackson * | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | +4.3 |
| Maurice Wiltz | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +4.5 |
| C.J. Carr | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Grant Fiorentinos | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +8.8 |
| Jake Newton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Chandler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
* = starter