Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +1 (78-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonius Cleveland * | 39 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +10.5 |
| Nino Johnson * | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | -0.1 |
| Jarekious Bradley * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +8.5 |
| J.J. Thompson * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Adeoye * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isiah Jones | 28 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Marcus Wallace | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +6.4 |
| TJ Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Bradshaw * | 36 | 10-15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19 | +0.7 |
| Reece Chamberlain * | 34 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -1.9 |
| Taylor Barnette * | 33 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -8.3 |
| Evan Bradds * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | -14.1 |
| Amanze Egekeze * | 21 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +13.2 |
| Nick Smith | 18 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | -8.7 |
| Jeff Laidig | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Spencer Turner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Austin Luke | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Holden Mobley | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Tyler Hadden | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Josh Lester | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Mack Mercer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Caleb Chowbay | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
* = starter