Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +37 (76-39). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas West * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Adrian Edwards * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Rakiya Battle * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Justin Colvin * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Baryn Houston * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Davis | 26 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Merriweather | 18 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Michael Hutchins | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Matthew Cotton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Isaiah Cotton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Moss * | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jonathan Fairell * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Jarvis Williams * | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Cameron Payne * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Sapp * | 22 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Justin Seymour | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Rambo | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kedrick Flomo | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Wayne Langston | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Terron Gilmore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Martin | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter