Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | โ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | โ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -3 (60-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Walker * | 35 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | -2.9 |
| Ishaq Pitt * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | +3.4 |
| Mike Myers * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | +11.9 |
| Iman Johnson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Devin Martin * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +5.1 |
| Ryan Andino | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -11.5 |
| Dominique Elliott | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -9.4 |
| Travis Trim | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6.6 |
| Mark Blackmon | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +11.4 |
| Issac Smith III | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.9 |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshun Newell * | 37 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | -0.2 |
| Deville Smith * | 35 | 7-16 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Twymond Howard * | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -10.8 |
| Alex Anderson * | 33 | 1-9 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | -4.0 |
| Arkeem Joseph * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4.3 |
| Javier Martinez | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -3.4 |
| Terrence Durham | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.4 |
| Chandler Rowe | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +6.0 |
| CJ Davis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
* = starter