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Model Predictions

Model Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks UT Martin Skyhawks Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - โœ—
Margin 36.9% 63.1% - โœ—
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.2% 60.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - โœ—

Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -3 (60-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devon Walker * 35 6-11 3-4 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 16 11 -2.9
Ishaq Pitt * 31 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 8 4 +3.4
Mike Myers * 29 6-9 0-1 2-5 10 6 0 1 0 14 22 +11.9
Iman Johnson * 25 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 6 9 -0.3
Devin Martin * 21 2-7 0-2 5-5 2 2 2 0 2 9 6 +5.1
Ryan Andino 20 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 1 -11.5
Dominique Elliott 15 1-4 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 1 2 6 4 -9.4
Travis Trim 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 -6.6
Mark Blackmon 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 0 4 +11.4
Issac Smith III 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +8.9

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marshun Newell * 37 5-12 2-5 2-2 10 3 0 0 1 14 14 -0.2
Deville Smith * 35 7-16 1-7 0-0 2 1 2 1 3 15 2 -
Twymond Howard * 34 2-7 1-3 4-4 7 3 1 1 1 9 13 -10.8
Alex Anderson * 33 1-9 1-9 1-3 0 2 0 0 0 4 -3 -4.0
Arkeem Joseph * 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -4.3
Javier Martinez 17 3-3 0-0 3-3 4 0 1 0 0 9 11 -3.4
Terrence Durham 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 +5.4
Chandler Rowe 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 5 +6.0
CJ Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.5

* = starter