Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maliik Love * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 28 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ridge Shipley * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Vincent * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Michael Bolden | 28 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 16 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Silvestri | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Williams * | 37 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Zalmico Harmon * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Michael Bryson * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| John Green * | 25 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Eric Childress | 26 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Taylor | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Mitch Brewe | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Beeler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter