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2015-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Beach Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% - โœ—
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 โœ“ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% - โœ“

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. LaSalle * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 7 12 -
M. Caffey * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 8 13 -
B. Jones * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 0 1 11 22 -
D. Samuels * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 10 17 -
T. Yussuf * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 8 12 -
T. Hammonds 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
E. McKnight 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
T. Lamb 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
J. Williams 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Bibbins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. North 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maliik Love * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 6 11 -
Ridge Shipley * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 3 14 19 -
Brian Bennett * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 0 10 23 -
Michael Bolden * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 3 11 -
Joel Awich * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 4 19 23 -
Reese Morgan 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 18 21 -
Anthony Silvestri 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
K.J. Logue 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter