Model Predictions
| Model | Incarnate Word Cardinals | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons +2 (103-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Incarnate Word Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Livingston * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 37 | 43 | - |
| Mitchell Badillo * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Jontrell Walker * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Kyle Hittle * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Traylin Farris * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Johnson | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Phillip Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jerred Kite | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Austin Henry | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalan West * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 40 | - |
| Zeek Woodley * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 35 | - |
| Marvin Frazier * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Ta'Jon Welcome * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Sabri Thompson * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Devonte Hall | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Matt Killian | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Tra'von Joseph | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Ryan King | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tony Dobbinson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter