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2015-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Penn State Nittany Lions Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Margin 83.1% 16.9% -8.8 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.3% 11.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“

Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -10 (67-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Thompson * 38 3-8 0-2 2-4 2 1 2 1 0 8 6 -
D'Angelo Russell * 34 8-16 5-8 7-11 6 3 3 0 2 28 22 -
Shannon Scott * 27 3-8 1-2 6-6 7 7 0 0 1 13 18 -
Jae'Sean Tate * 20 6-10 0-1 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 13 7 -
Amir Williams * 15 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
Marc Loving 25 0-4 0-3 3-4 9 0 0 0 2 3 6 -
Trey McDonald 25 1-4 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Kam Williams 12 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 3 -
Keita Bates-Diop 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Penn State Nittany Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Newbill * 39 5-15 0-4 7-8 4 5 1 0 4 17 8 -
R. Travis * 29 6-8 0-0 2-4 8 1 2 0 2 14 15 -
G. Thorpe * 17 3-6 0-2 3-4 1 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
K. Montminy * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wisniewski * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Garner 33 4-14 1-6 4-4 3 0 1 0 1 13 2 -
J. Dickerson 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 4 8 -
B. Taylor 17 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
J. Moore 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
D. Foster 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
D. Jack 11 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
P. Banks 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter