Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Travis Trice * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Clark II * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Matt Costello | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Bryn Forbes | 23 | 8-9 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Branden Dawson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bronson Koenig * | 39 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 37 | 11-17 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 29 | - |
| Sam Dekker * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Josh Gasser * | 35 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Duje Dukan | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zak Showalter | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Vitto Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter