Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +19 (68-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 37 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Nunn * | 36 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -4 | - |
| J. Tate * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Black * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Rice | 30 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Starks | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Colbert | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Morgan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. La Tulip | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Schmidt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Liss | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Gasser * | 38 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Bronson Koenig * | 37 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky * | 35 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Sam Dekker * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Duje Dukan | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Zak Showalter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Vitto Brown | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Riley Dearring | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter