Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.5% | 77.5% | +6.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Russell * | 39 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Sam Thompson * | 37 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Scott * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Amir Williams * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Trey McDonald | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marc Loving | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kam Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branden Dawson * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 36 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 33 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Travis Trice | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Matt Costello | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Clark II | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter