Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.3% | 88.7% | +11.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Irvin * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Spike Albrecht * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Aubrey Dawkins * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Ricky Doyle * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Max Bielfeldt | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Andrew Dakich | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kameron Chatman | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sean Lonergan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 39 | - |
| Travis Trice * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 33 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Matt Costello | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Javon Bess | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Clark II | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter