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2015-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 90.7% 9.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.1% 13.9% - โœ“
Margin 89.6% 10.4% -11.8 โœ“ (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.2% 5.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.7% 26.3% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Kaminsky * 43 8-13 0-0 6-8 9 1 0 0 2 22 17 -
N. Hayes-Davis * 42 3-10 1-2 3-3 5 3 2 0 2 10 8 -
Josh Gasser * 40 3-7 3-7 0-1 3 0 2 0 0 9 7 -
Bronson Koenig * 40 4-7 2-5 3-4 1 4 0 1 1 13 11 -
Sam Dekker * 33 6-11 1-6 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 15 7 -
Duje Dukan 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Zak Showalter 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Vitto Brown 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Walton * 40 4-12 2-5 7-8 5 2 1 0 5 17 8 -
Zak Irvin * 40 5-15 2-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 12 1 -
Spike Albrecht * 25 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Aubrey Dawkins * 24 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 3 6 -
Ricky Doyle * 23 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman 23 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 9 7 -
Kameron Chatman 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Max Bielfeldt 14 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
Mark Donnal 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Andrew Dakich 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Sean Lonergan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter