Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +4 (67-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrod Uthoff * | 35 | 2-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 27 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Peter Jok * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Aaron White * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 23 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Dom Uhl | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trey Dickerson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapheal Davis * | 39 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 5-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Jon Octeus * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Dakota Mathias * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Vince Edwards * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Basil Smotherman | 25 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Isaac Haas | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kendall Stephens | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Thompson | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter