Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -2 (66-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melo Trimble * | 41 | 2-13 | 1-8 | 12-14 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 40 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Richaud Pack * | 37 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jake Layman * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Damonte Dodd * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Graham | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jared Nickens | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Michal Cekovsky | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dion Wiley | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Trice * | 44 | 7-22 | 3-11 | 9-10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 43 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Bryn Forbes * | 40 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 29 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Gavin Schilling * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Matt Costello | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Clark II | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Javon Bess | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter