Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +26 (108-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Jackson * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Cedrick Williams * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Addison Spruill * | 21 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Craig Ponder * | 17 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Chuck Ogbodo * | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jordon Talley | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Malik Pugh | 19 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Gettys | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Dylan Sherwood | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Hickson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Morris * | 28 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Joey King * | 28 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| DeAndre Mathieu * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Andre Hollins * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Maurice Walker * | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Nate Mason | 25 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Charles Buggs | 16 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Elliott Eliason | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bakary Konate | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kendal Shell | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mike Lukashewich | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter