Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -5 (76-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stevens * | 37 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Ferguson * | 37 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| A. Lewis * | 37 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| K. Williams * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Judah Brown | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| G. Boyanov | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Gardner * | 34 | 10-18 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Livingston * | 32 | 8-16 | 1-6 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Cameron Golden * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C.J. Foster * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kelvin Downs | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Daijon Macklien | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Charles Waters | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Josh Pierre | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter