Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +28 (79-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 25 | - |
| D. Ferguson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Stevens * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Lewis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | - |
| G. Boyanov | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Judah Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Karazsia | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Epps | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Andjusic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Hunter * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 40 | - |
| Markus Crider * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Kevin Ware * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ryann Green * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Curtis Washington * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Dennis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| T.J. Shipes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Session | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Jalen Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Tobin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carter Cagle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter