Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +11.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +21 (83-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie McClanahan * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Hervey * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Anthony Walker * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Kaelon Wilson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Erick Neal * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Greg Gainey | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Jamel Outler | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Drew Charles | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jorge Bilbao | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Hunter * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Ryan Harrow * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 29 | - |
| Markus Crider * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| T.J. Shipes * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ryann Green * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Ware | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Curtis Washington | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Jordan Session | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Dennis | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Corey Tobin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Carter Cagle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jalen Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter