Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylor Ongwae * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Majok Deng * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 20 | - |
| Nick Coppola * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Mack Foster * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Justin Roberson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| DeMondre Harvey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jamaal Samuel | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Prince Cooper | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Davis * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Emani Gant * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Brown * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Naylor * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Ethan Montalvo | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Ojai Black | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| JaMarcus Weatherspoon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kendell Ramlal | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Victor Bermudez | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter