Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia Southern Eagles | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +1 (62-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelani Hewitt * | 37 | 1-11 | 0-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +10.0 |
| Angel Matias * | 30 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | -7.0 |
| Trent Wiedeman * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Mike Hughes * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Kyle Doyle * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -10.3 |
| Curtis Diamond | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Eric Ferguson | 27 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 23 | -1.4 |
| Jake Allsmiller | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.5 |
| Devonte Boykins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
| Coye Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Hill * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -2.4 |
| Kevin Hervey * | 27 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +11.1 |
| Drew Charles * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +15.2 |
| Brandon Williams * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +10.5 |
| Jamel Outler * | 22 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +15.8 |
| Lonnie McClanahan | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -19.0 |
| Greg Gainey | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -9.2 |
| Jorge Bilbao | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Kaelon Wilson | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Erick Neal | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Anthony Walker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -10.2 |
* = starter